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Alright, it’s time to get serious.  Not me, the Reds.  They kick off their season at home on Monday against the Cubs.  If you remember way, way back, the Reds swept the Mets in their opening series.  Of course it all went downhill from there.  I’ve turned into a pessimist, but with new ownership, it won’t take much to pull me back into the fold.  With that, I have three predictions.

1)  The Reds will have a losing record

2)  The Reds will have a team ERA above 5.00 again

3)  Adam Dunn will hit 50 homeruns, although there’s a good chance that some of those come with another team.

Bronson Arroyo looked great yesterday in the Reds shutout win over Arroyo’s former team.  Bronson threw seven shutout innings and gave up three hits.  He struck out nine.  The bad news is, the solid start reduced his ERA to healthy 6.85.

Austin Kearns and Adam Dunn both turned it up in the second half of the spring.  Dunn now has five homeruns and he’s slugging .708.  Kearns picked up his batting average to .295.  Both of these guys were hovering around the Mendoza line not that long ago, although with this few at bats, all it takes is a good couple of games to get those numbers up.

The site looks great. I’m digging the new format.

I think your pessimism is unfounded, though. There’s no way Dunn’s hitting 50 home runs this year.

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Posted by Red Hot Mama on April 2nd, 2006 at 3:05 pm

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